Clervie Ngounoue vs Eva Guerrero Alvarez Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In evaluating the potential outcome of this upcoming tennis match, a comprehensive analysis of the players' recent performance statistics provides valuable insights for making predictions. Ngounoue has demonstrated superior strength in second serve points, securing 41.61% of these points compared to Alvarez's 36.81% over the last six months. This stat is notably significant for match prediction accuracy, and suggests an edge for Ngounoue in this aspect.

Moreover, in the return game department, Ngounoue outperforms Alvarez on opponent's second serves, winning 50.07% compared to Alvarez's 45.02%. However, Alvarez shows a slight advantage in first serve returns with 35.87% over Ngounoue’s 30.97%. These detailed comparisons highlight the strengths each player may leverage during the match.

Analyzing performance under pressure, both players have a close record in saving breakpoints—Ngounoue at 46.71% and Alvarez at 46.09%. Additionally, break point conversion rates offer further comparison, with Alvarez marginally ahead at 39.71% compared to Ngounoue's 38.07%. These statistics offer valuable insights for in-game predictions, particularly for live betting scenarios.

In a broader performance overview, Ngounoue surpasses Alvarez with a win rate of 71.15% (37 wins and 15 losses) over the past year, while Alvarez secured a 60.42% win rate (29 wins and 19 losses), which provides an overall prediction lead for Ngounoue. When considering surface preferences, Ngounoue excels on indoor hard surfaces with a 76% win rate, while Alvarez prefers hard surfaces with a 68% win rate.

Player level and experience also play a role with Ngounoue playing primarily at the Challengers/ITF > $10K level, achieving a 77.78% win rate, whereas Alvarez's performance at this level is lower, with a 47.06% win rate. The average opponent ranking over the past year favors Ngounoue, who faced higher-ranked players at an average rank of 327.83, while Alvarez's opponents averaged a rank of 403.31.

In live match conditions, performance in deciding sets could be pivotal. Ngounoue has an impressive record, winning 83% of these high-pressure sets over the last year, compared to Alvarez’s 63%. These figures further add to Ngounoue's strengths and advantages going into the match.

Taking into account these comprehensive statistics, including recent form and performance under varying conditions, Ngounoue’s consistent record and superior stats suggest a higher likelihood of coming out victorious in this matchup. Therefore, based on the presented data, Ngounoue is favored to win against Alvarez in the upcoming tennis event.